What is the probability of the spread of the coronavirus (COVID-19)?

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Read this: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/langlo/article/PIIS2214-109X(20)30074-7/fulltext
Respond to, at a minimum, the following questions:
What is the probability of the spread of the coronavirus (COVID-19)? What methods are used in this research and what all was considered in choosing the methods in the study? What were the preliminary findings? Within the discussion, what are the major concerns? What are the implications (and limitations) of the available evidence? What are the recommendations made by these researchers for controlling the outbreak? When examining the model structure, what are the keywords found in the article that are also found in your course textbook? Evaluate the graphics used to display the probability distribution. How do the authors use probability distribution graphs to quantify the effectiveness of contact tracing? Summarize the results.

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